2022-10-06
Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2022Q2
Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2022Q2.
作者簡介：Editing by Huang Nuan-Yun
Editor of Taipeiecon
International Economic Outlook
According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2022Q2: U.S. real GDP will grow by1.6%, Japan's real GDP will decline by 2.2%, China`s real GDP will grow by 0.4%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 4.0%.
Unit：%
2022 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
| | IMF
2022.07
(2022.04) | UN
2022.05
(2022.01) | IHS Markit
2022.08
(2022.07) | OECD
2022.06
(2021.12) | EIU
2022.08
(2022.07) | WB
2022.06
(2022.01) |
|---|
| region | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|
| Global |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
| (3.6) |
(3.6) |
(4.0) |
(3.5) |
(2.7) |
(2.6) |
(4.5) |
(3.2) |
(2.8) |
(2.5) |
(4.1) |
(3.2) |
| USA |
2.3 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
| (3.7) |
(2.3) |
(3.5) |
(2.4) |
(1.4) |
(1.3) |
(3.7) |
(2.4) |
(2.3) |
(1.3) |
(3.7) |
(2.6) |
| JAPAN |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
| (2.4) |
(2.3) |
(3.3) |
(2.7) |
(1.7) |
(1.7) |
(3.4) |
(1.1) |
(2.1) |
(1.1) |
(2.9) |
(1.2) |
| EURO |
2.6 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
0.8 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
| (2.8) |
(2.3) |
(4.0) |
(2.5) |
(2.5) |
(1.2) |
(4.3) |
(2.5) |
(2.6) |
(1.6) |
(4.2) |
(2.1) |
| CHINA |
3.3 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
| (4.4) |
(5.1) |
(5.2) |
(5.5) |
(4.0) |
(5.2) |
(5.1) |
(5.1) |
(4.0) |
(5.5) |
(5.1) |
(5.3) |
|
World Trade
|
4.1 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
- |
- |
4.9 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
| (5.0) |
(4.4) |
(5.7) |
(4.0) |
(-) |
(-) |
(4.9) |
(4.5) |
(4.0) |
(3.5) |
(5.8) |
(4.7) |
| |
Note：( )advance estimate.
Source：
- IMF：World Economic Outlook（July 26th 2022）
- UN：World Economic Situation and Prospects 2022（May 18th 2022）
- IHS Markit：Economic Outlook（August 15th 2022）
- OECD：OECD Economic Outlook（June 8st 2022）
- EIU：EIU Country Forecast World June 2022（forecast closing date：August 15th 2022）
- WB：Global Economic Prospects（June 2022）
- Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.
Taiwan Economic Overview
Key domestic economic indicators for 2022Q2: real GDP grew by 3.05%. Inflation expectations affect the global consumer market, and the growth of export orders slows down, a year-on-year increase of 3.24%. Affected by rising raw material prices, the total value of exports hit a record high, a year-on-year increase of 15.41%. The industrial production index and manufacturing industry production index climbed to 134.15 and 136.26, respectively. This represents a year-on-year rise of 3.68% and 3.86%.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
| GDP (％) |
2022Q2 |
3.05 |
— |
Export Orders
(US$ billion) |
2022Q2 |
166.17 |
▲3.24％ |
Custom Exports
(US$ billion) |
2022Q2 |
125.74 |
▲15.41％ |
| Industrial Production Index in Taiwan |
2022Q2 |
136.26 |
▲3.86％ |
Taipei Econ Overview
As of the end of June 2022, a total of 236,044 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number declines by 4,182 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year declines of 1.74%. The capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 13.81 trillion, an increase of 4.05% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City reached 982, an annual declines of 3.44%.
The number of he Profit-seeking Enterprise in Taipei City is 243,443 and the amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income are 5.20 trillion, an annual increase of 13.15%. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 4.19 trillion, an annual increase of 13.77%. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 3,071 million, an annual increase of 372.46 %.The number of newly established foreign companies in Taipei City is 57, an increase of 5.56% over the same period last year.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
Industry & Business Registration
(Number) |
June 2022
(bottom value) |
236,044 |
▼1.74% |
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion) |
June 2022
(bottom value) |
13.81 |
▲4.05% |
Factory Registration
(Number) |
June 2022
(bottom value) |
982 |
▼3.44% |
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number) |
June 2022
(bottom value) |
243,443 |
▲1.13％ |
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
(NT$ trillion) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
5.20 |
▲13.15% |
Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
4.19 |
▲13.77% |
Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
30.71 |
▲372.46% |
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
(Number) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
57 |
▲5.56% |