2022-12-16
Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2022Q3
Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2022Q3.
作者簡介：Editing by Huang Nuan-Yun
Editor of Taipeiecon
International Economic Outlook
According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2022Q3: U.S. real GDP will grow by1.8%, Japan's real GDP will decline by 1.2%, China`s real GDP will grow by3.9%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 2.1%.
Unit：%
2022 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
| | IMF
2022.10
(2022.04) | UN
2022.05
(2022.01) | IHS Markit
2022.08
(2022.07) | OECD
2022.06
(2021.12) | EIU
2022.08
(2022.07) | WB
2022.06
(2022.01) |
|---|
| region | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|
| Global |
3.2 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
| (3.2) |
(2.9) |
(4.0) |
(3.5) |
(2.8) |
(1.4) |
(3.0) |
(2.8) |
(2.8) |
(1.6) |
(4.1) |
(3.2) |
| USA |
1.6 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
-0.2 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
| (2.3) |
(1.0) |
(3.5) |
(2.4) |
(1.7) |
(-0.5) |
(2.5) |
(1.2) |
(1.5) |
(0.2) |
(3.7) |
(2.6) |
| JAPAN |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
| (1.7) |
(1.7) |
(3.3) |
(2.7) |
(1.6) |
(1.2) |
(1.7) |
(1.8) |
(1.8) |
(0.9) |
(2.9) |
(1.2) |
| EURO |
3.1 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
-0.5 |
3.1 |
0.3 |
3.0 |
-0.3 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
| (2.6) |
(1.2) |
(4.0) |
(2.5) |
(3.1) |
(-0.6) |
(2.6) |
(1.6) |
(3.0) |
(-0.4) |
(4.2) |
(2.1) |
| CHINA |
3.2 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
| (3.3) |
(4.6) |
(5.2) |
(5.5) |
(3.0) |
(4.4) |
(4.4) |
(4.9) |
(3.3) |
(4.7) |
(5.1) |
(5.3) |
|
World Trade
|
4.3 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3.3 |
1.6 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
| (4.1) |
(3.2) |
(5.7) |
(4.0) |
(-) |
(-) |
(4.9) |
(3.9) |
(3.8) |
(1.8) |
(5.8) |
(4.7) |
| |
Note：( )advance estimate.
Source：
- IMF：World Economic Outlook（Octoaber 11th 2022）
- UN：World Economic Situation and Prospects 2022（May 18th 2022）
- IHS Markit：Economic Outlook（November 15th 2022）
- OECD：OECD Economic Outlook（September 26th 2022）
- EIU：One-click Report: World （forecast closing date：November 14th 2022）
- WB：Global Economic Prospects（June 2022）
- Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.
Taiwan Economic Overview
The real GDP grew by 4.01% on a year-on-year basis in 2022Q3. The value of export orders in 2022Q3 was US$169.779 billion, a decrease of 1.12% from the same period last year. The total export value in 2022Q3 was US$121.106 billion, an increase of 3.40% over the same period last year. The industrial production index in 2022Q3 is 136.56, an annual decrease of 0.01%.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
| GDP (％) |
2022Q3 |
4.01 |
— |
Export Orders
(US$ billion) |
2022Q3 |
169.78 |
▼1.12％ |
Custom Exports
(US$ billion) |
2022Q3 |
121.11 |
▲3.40％ |
| Industrial Production Index in Taiwan |
2022Q3 |
136.56 |
▲0.01％ |
Taipei Econ Overview
As of the end of September 2022, a total of 235,122 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number declines by 3,502 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year declines of 1.47%. The capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 14.00 trillion, an increase of 3.88% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City reached 980, an annual declines of 2.49%.
The number of he Profit-seeking Enterprise in Taipei City is 243,902 and the amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income are 2.86 trillion, an annual increase of 10.28%. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 2.29 trillion, an annual increase of 10.97%. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 1,870 million, an annual increase of 23.43%.The number of newly established foreign businesses in Taipei City is 61, which remained constant compared with the same period last year.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
Industry & Business Registration
(Number) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
235,122 |
▼1.47% |
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
14.00 |
▲3.88% |
Factory Registration
(Number) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
980 |
▼2.49% |
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
243,902 |
▲1.23％ |
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
(NT$ trillion) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
2.86 |
▲10.28% |
Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
2.29 |
▲10.97% |
Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
18.70 |
▲23.43% |
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
(Number) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
61 |
— |