2023-05-16
Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2022Q4
Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2022Q4.
作者簡介：Editing by Huang Nuan-Yun
Editor of Taipeiecon
International Economic Outlook
According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2023: U.S. real GDP will grow by 1.4 %, Japan's real GDP will grow by 1.8%, China`s real GDP will grow by 5.2%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 0.7%.
Unit：%
2023 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
| | IMF
2023.01
(2022.10) | UN
2023.01
(2022.05) | S&P Global
2023.02
(2023.01) | OECD
2022.11
(2022.09) | EIU
2023.02
(2023.01) | WB
2023.01
(2022.06) |
|---|
| region | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 |
|---|
| Global |
2.9 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
| (2.7) |
(3.2) |
(3.1) |
(-) |
(1.9) |
(3.0) |
(2.7) |
(3.2) |
(3.1) |
(-) |
(1.9) |
(3.0) |
| USA |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
| (1.0) |
(1.2) |
(1.8) |
(-) |
(0.5) |
(1.8) |
(1.0) |
(1.2) |
(1.8) |
(-) |
(0.5) |
(1.8) |
| JAPAN |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
| (1.6) |
(1.3) |
(2.2) |
(-) |
(1.1) |
(1.4) |
(1.6) |
(1.3) |
(2.2) |
(-) |
(1.1) |
(1.4) |
| EURO |
0.7 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
| (0.5) |
(1.8) |
(2.3) |
(-) |
(0.2) |
(1.5) |
(0.5) |
(1.8) |
(2.3) |
(-) |
(0.2) |
(1.5) |
| CHINA |
5.2 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
| (4.4) |
(4.5) |
(5.2) |
(-) |
(5.0) |
(5.8) |
(4.4) |
(4.5) |
(5.2) |
(-) |
(5.0) |
(5.8) |
|
World Trade
|
2.4 |
3.4 |
-0.4 |
2.5 |
- |
- |
2.4 |
3.4 |
-0.4 |
2.5 |
- |
- |
| (2.5) |
(3.7) |
(4.8) |
(-) |
(-) |
(-) |
(2.5) |
(3.7) |
(4.8) |
(-) |
(-) |
(-) |
| |
Note：( )advance estimate.
Source：
- IMF：World Economic Outlook（January 31st 2023）
- UN：World Economic Situation and Prospects 2023（January 25th 2023）
- S&P Gkibak（March 15th 2023）
- OECD：OECD Economic Outlook（November 22nd 2022）
- EIU：One-click Report: World （forecast closing date：February 13th 2023）
- WB：Global Economic Prospects（January 2023）
- Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.
Taiwan Economic Overview
Key domestic economic indicators for 2022：For the whole 2022, real GDP grew by 2.45%.The export order volume reached a new high of US$ 666.79 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.09%.The export trade value reached a new high of US$ 479.52 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.43%. The industrial production index and manufacturing industry production index climbed to 132.87 and 135.05, respectively. This represents a year-on-year decrease of 0.88% and 0.89%.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
| GDP (％) |
2022 |
2.45 |
— |
Export Orders
(US$ billion) |
2022 |
666.79 |
▼1.09％ |
Custom Exports
(US$ billion) |
2022 |
479.52 |
▲7.43％ |
| Industrial Production Index in Taiwan |
2022 |
132.87 |
▼0.88％ |
Taipei Econ Overview
As of the end of December 2022, a total of 235,126 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number declines by 2,275 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year declines of 0.96%. The capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 14.14 trillion, an increase of 3.46% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City reached 972, an annual declines of 3.38%.
The number of he Profit-seeking Enterprise in Taipei City is 244,354 and the amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income are 17.08 trillion, an annual increase of 10.22%. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 13.85 trillion, an annual increase of 10.67%. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 7,220 million, an annual decrease of 41.79%. The number of newly established foreign companies in Taipei City is 222, an decrease of 8.64% over the same period last year.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
Industry & Business Registration
(Number) |
December 2022
(bottom value) |
235,126 |
▼0.96% |
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion) |
December 2022
(bottom value) |
14.14 |
▲3.46% |
Factory Registration
(Number) |
December 2022
(bottom value) |
972 |
▼3.38% |
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number) |
December 2022
(bottom value) |
244,354 |
▲0.86％ |
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
(NT$ trillion) |
2022
(whole year) |
17.08 |
▲10.22% |
Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion) |
2022
(whole year) |
13.85 |
▲10.67% |
Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million) |
2022
(whole year) |
72.20 |
▲41.79% |
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
(Number) |
2022
(whole year) |
222 |
▼8.64% |