2022-10-06
Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2022Q2
Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2022Q2.
作者簡介:Editing by Huang Nuan-Yun
Editor of Taipeiecon
International Economic Outlook
According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2022Q2: U.S. real GDP will grow by1.6%, Japan's real GDP will decline by 2.2%, China`s real GDP will grow by 0.4%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 4.0%.
Unit:%
2022 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
| IMF 2022.07 (2022.04) | UN 2022.05 (2022.01) | IHS Markit 2022.08 (2022.07) | OECD 2022.06 (2021.12) | EIU 2022.08 (2022.07) | WB 2022.06 (2022.01) |
region | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 |
Global |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
(3.6) |
(3.6) |
(4.0) |
(3.5) |
(2.7) |
(2.6) |
(4.5) |
(3.2) |
(2.8) |
(2.5) |
(4.1) |
(3.2) |
USA |
2.3 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
(3.7) |
(2.3) |
(3.5) |
(2.4) |
(1.4) |
(1.3) |
(3.7) |
(2.4) |
(2.3) |
(1.3) |
(3.7) |
(2.6) |
JAPAN |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
(2.4) |
(2.3) |
(3.3) |
(2.7) |
(1.7) |
(1.7) |
(3.4) |
(1.1) |
(2.1) |
(1.1) |
(2.9) |
(1.2) |
EURO |
2.6 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
0.8 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
(2.8) |
(2.3) |
(4.0) |
(2.5) |
(2.5) |
(1.2) |
(4.3) |
(2.5) |
(2.6) |
(1.6) |
(4.2) |
(2.1) |
CHINA |
3.3 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
(4.4) |
(5.1) |
(5.2) |
(5.5) |
(4.0) |
(5.2) |
(5.1) |
(5.1) |
(4.0) |
(5.5) |
(5.1) |
(5.3) |
World Trade
|
4.1 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
- |
- |
4.9 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
(5.0) |
(4.4) |
(5.7) |
(4.0) |
(-) |
(-) |
(4.9) |
(4.5) |
(4.0) |
(3.5) |
(5.8) |
(4.7) |
|
Note:( )advance estimate.
Source:
- IMF:World Economic Outlook(July 26th 2022)
- UN:World Economic Situation and Prospects 2022(May 18th 2022)
- IHS Markit:Economic Outlook(August 15th 2022)
- OECD:OECD Economic Outlook(June 8st 2022)
- EIU:EIU Country Forecast World June 2022(forecast closing date:August 15th 2022)
- WB:Global Economic Prospects(June 2022)
- Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.
Taiwan Economic Overview
Key domestic economic indicators for 2022Q2: real GDP grew by 3.05%. Inflation expectations affect the global consumer market, and the growth of export orders slows down, a year-on-year increase of 3.24%. Affected by rising raw material prices, the total value of exports hit a record high, a year-on-year increase of 15.41%. The industrial production index and manufacturing industry production index climbed to 134.15 and 136.26, respectively. This represents a year-on-year rise of 3.68% and 3.86%.
Taiwan Econ Overview
Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
GDP (%) |
2022Q2 |
3.05 |
— |
Export Orders (US$ billion) |
2022Q2 |
166.17 |
▲3.24% |
Custom Exports (US$ billion) |
2022Q2 |
125.74 |
▲15.41% |
Industrial Production Index in Taiwan |
2022Q2 |
136.26 |
▲3.86% |
Taipei Econ Overview
As of the end of June 2022, a total of 236,044 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number declines by 4,182 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year declines of 1.74%. The capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 13.81 trillion, an increase of 4.05% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City reached 982, an annual declines of 3.44%.
The number of he Profit-seeking Enterprise in Taipei City is 243,443 and the amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income are 5.20 trillion, an annual increase of 13.15%. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 4.19 trillion, an annual increase of 13.77%. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 3,071 million, an annual increase of 372.46 %.The number of newly established foreign companies in Taipei City is 57, an increase of 5.56% over the same period last year.
Taiwan Econ Overview
Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
Industry & Business Registration (Number) |
June 2022 (bottom value) |
236,044 |
▼1.74% |
Total Capital of Companies Registered (NT$ trillion) |
June 2022 (bottom value) |
13.81 |
▲4.05% |
Factory Registration (Number) |
June 2022 (bottom value) |
982 |
▼3.44% |
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise (Number) |
June 2022 (bottom value) |
243,443 |
▲1.13% |
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income (NT$ trillion) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022 (Cumulative value) |
5.20 |
▲13.15% |
Sales of Tertiary Industry (NT$ trillion) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022 (Cumulative value) |
4.19 |
▲13.77% |
Foreign Direct Investment (US$ hundred million) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022 (Cumulative value) |
30.71 |
▲372.46% |
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies (Number) |
Apr. - Jun. 2022 (Cumulative value) |
57 |
▲5.56% |