Dec 16, 2022
Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2022Q3
Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2022Q3.
About the Author：Editing by Huang Nuan-Yun
Editor of Taipeiecon
International Economic Outlook
According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2022Q3: U.S. real GDP will grow by1.8%, Japan's real GDP will decline by 1.2%, China`s real GDP will grow by3.9%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 2.1%.
Unit：%
2022 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
| | IMF
2022.10
(2022.04) | UN
2022.05
(2022.01) | IHS Markit
2022.08
(2022.07) | OECD
2022.06
(2021.12) | EIU
2022.08
(2022.07) | WB
2022.06
(2022.01) |
|---|
| region | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 |
|---|
| Global |
3.2 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
| (3.2) |
(2.9) |
(4.0) |
(3.5) |
(2.8) |
(1.4) |
(3.0) |
(2.8) |
(2.8) |
(1.6) |
(4.1) |
(3.2) |
| USA |
1.6 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
-0.2 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
| (2.3) |
(1.0) |
(3.5) |
(2.4) |
(1.7) |
(-0.5) |
(2.5) |
(1.2) |
(1.5) |
(0.2) |
(3.7) |
(2.6) |
| JAPAN |
1.7 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
| (1.7) |
(1.7) |
(3.3) |
(2.7) |
(1.6) |
(1.2) |
(1.7) |
(1.8) |
(1.8) |
(0.9) |
(2.9) |
(1.2) |
| EURO |
3.1 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
-0.5 |
3.1 |
0.3 |
3.0 |
-0.3 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
| (2.6) |
(1.2) |
(4.0) |
(2.5) |
(3.1) |
(-0.6) |
(2.6) |
(1.6) |
(3.0) |
(-0.4) |
(4.2) |
(2.1) |
| CHINA |
3.2 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
| (3.3) |
(4.6) |
(5.2) |
(5.5) |
(3.0) |
(4.4) |
(4.4) |
(4.9) |
(3.3) |
(4.7) |
(5.1) |
(5.3) |
|
World Trade
|
4.3 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3.3 |
1.6 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
| (4.1) |
(3.2) |
(5.7) |
(4.0) |
(-) |
(-) |
(4.9) |
(3.9) |
(3.8) |
(1.8) |
(5.8) |
(4.7) |
| |
Note：( )advance estimate.
Source：
- IMF：World Economic Outlook（Octoaber 11th 2022）
- UN：World Economic Situation and Prospects 2022（May 18th 2022）
- IHS Markit：Economic Outlook（November 15th 2022）
- OECD：OECD Economic Outlook（September 26th 2022）
- EIU：One-click Report: World （forecast closing date：November 14th 2022）
- WB：Global Economic Prospects（June 2022）
- Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.
Taiwan Economic Overview
The real GDP grew by 4.01% on a year-on-year basis in 2022Q3. The value of export orders in 2022Q3 was US$169.779 billion, a decrease of 1.12% from the same period last year. The total export value in 2022Q3 was US$121.106 billion, an increase of 3.40% over the same period last year. The industrial production index in 2022Q3 is 136.56, an annual decrease of 0.01%.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
| GDP (％) |
2022Q3 |
4.01 |
— |
Export Orders
(US$ billion) |
2022Q3 |
169.78 |
▼1.12％ |
Custom Exports
(US$ billion) |
2022Q3 |
121.11 |
▲3.40％ |
| Industrial Production Index in Taiwan |
2022Q3 |
136.56 |
▲0.01％ |
Taipei Econ Overview
As of the end of September 2022, a total of 235,122 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number declines by 3,502 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year declines of 1.47%. The capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 14.00 trillion, an increase of 3.88% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City reached 980, an annual declines of 2.49%.
The number of he Profit-seeking Enterprise in Taipei City is 243,902 and the amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income are 2.86 trillion, an annual increase of 10.28%. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 2.29 trillion, an annual increase of 10.97%. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 1,870 million, an annual increase of 23.43%.The number of newly established foreign businesses in Taipei City is 61, which remained constant compared with the same period last year.
Taiwan Econ Overview
| Indicator | Statistical interval | Data | YoY |
|---|
Industry & Business Registration
(Number) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
235,122 |
▼1.47% |
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
14.00 |
▲3.88% |
Factory Registration
(Number) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
980 |
▼2.49% |
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number) |
Sep 2022
(bottom value) |
243,902 |
▲1.23％ |
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
(NT$ trillion) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
2.86 |
▲10.28% |
Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
2.29 |
▲10.97% |
Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
18.70 |
▲23.43% |
Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
(Number) |
Jul. - Sep. 2022
(Cumulative value) |
61 |
— |
